Tuesday, 15 April 2008

Hmha

I just had a session that frustrated me for the most part, but somehow I came out ontop 4 buy ins @ 2/4 on party. The last couple of sessions have been frustrating me and it's odd, I don't quite understand it, especially running ok. I guess spots where I'm not absolutely sure about my play frustrate me regardless of the results.
I actually left a table because I just felt completely off of my game on that specific table.
Here are some weird hands:

dude


This guy had the stats of a reg and so no specific reads him besides that. I feel that I have to call down a reg here, because his line is very fishy for a monster, but may make sense if he thinks I'm always stabbing the ace and he can fold me out easily. Not saying I like his play by any means, but if that were the case there could be some value in playing draws like this. Now on the river all the draws miss and he makes this weird small bet. Against a fish I think I'd be beat fairly often, but he can also have a lot of missed draws. So I think in retrospect that it's a call, but I mucked given that I couldn't make up my mind fast enough and it's just spots like that that frustrate me. I have a strict fold when you don't know what to do policy, but I think I can make a case for a crying call here. He can also have weaker aces here that he wants to take down the turn with so more merit to calling the river, just meh imo.

nits

I usually don't fold AK pre with these stacks, but I do have 3 bet stats and this guy was an extremely nitty 3-better over 1kish hands. I only had 30 invested and would've had to commit 400 more against a guy with very tight reraising stats. Despite his tightness I'd still give myself around 35-40% against his calling range, but off the top of my head I figured this shove was -ev.
Let's do the quick maths with 37% equity:
(38+433)*0.37-403*0.63=174.27-253.89=-79.62
So I guess I'm pleased with my fold here given my analysis of his range.

All in all my fold when I have no clue policy has served me pretty well and sometimes I make weird folds, but I'd rather make a neutral ev fold than a guessing call. I think it also helps psycholigically.

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